Our Health Policy Matters

Let’s open 2014 with four health policy predictions.  Here are the first three: Obamacare enrollments will top 5 million. Uninsured rates will come down. Health inflation will tick up. Here’s why you can count on these.   First, 1.1 million people have already enrolled in Obamacare.  The Administration hopes for 7 million by March.  That may be optimistic, but there will be another burst of enrollments in a couple of months.  And there will be another open enrollment period toward the end of the year.  So at least 5 million enrollments seems reasonable.  And here is a bonus prediction.  If that many sign up, the politics of Obamacare in the half of the states that have embraced it will probably shift during the 2014 election cycle.  Their people will, too. Second, the number of people who are uninsured will go down.  A 1 or 2 percent decline will be attributable to Obamacare.  The improving economy will...

Let’s open 2014 with four health policy predictions.  Here are the first three: Obamacare enrollments will top 5 million. Uninsured rates will come down. Health inflation will tick up. Here’s why you can count on these.   First, 1.1 million people have already enrolled in Obamacare.  The Administration hopes for 7 million by March.  That may be optimistic, but there will be another burst of enrollments in a couple of months.  And there will be another open enrollment period toward the end of the year.  So at least 5 million enrollments seems reasonable.  And here is a bonus prediction.  If that many sign up, the politics of Obamacare in the half of the states that have embraced it will probably shift during the 2014 election cycle.  Their people will, too. Second, the number of people who are uninsured will go down.  A 1 or 2 percent decline will be attributable to Obamacare.  The improving economy will...